Chipotle Stock Is Soaring — And It’s About To Get A Lot Cheaper

Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) soared on Thursday, rising some 7% on a powerful first-quarter earnings report that crushed estimates.

Moreover, the stock price of the fast-food chain is about to get so much cheaper because it prepares for a 50-to-one stock split at the tip of Q2. The primary stock split in the corporate’s history will give each shareholder an extra 49 shares for each share owned. At the present share price of about $3,100, a single share after the split will likely be value about $62.

In fact, the actual price after the stock split will likely be based on the share price as of June 18, with Chipotle shares to start trading at the brand new price on June 26. Amongst other things, the split will make this fast-growing stock more accessible to more investors.

Outperforming many of the Magnificent Seven

Chipotle has been one of the crucial consistent performers in the marketplace over the past 5 – 6 years. Since 2018, it has had just one yr wherein it finished within the red, sinking 20% in 2022. Last yr, the stock returned 65%, and this yr, it’s already up 39% yr thus far.

Over the past five years, Chipotle has posted a median annualized return of 34%, which is best than Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet and Meta Platforms.

The corporate continued to grow in the primary quarter as its revenue jumped 14% yr over yr to $2.7 billion. Comparable-restaurant sales climbed 7%, while the chain added 47 latest restaurants within the quarter, including one with a drive-through Chipotlane. The chain had 5.4% more transactions and a 1.6% increase in the typical check size.   

Chipotle’s net income increased 23% to $359 million or $13.01 per share, smashing the consensus estimate of $11.68 per share.

The corporate was in a position to keep expenses down, as food, beverage and packaging costs were 28.8% of total revenue, a drop of roughly 40 basis points in comparison with the primary quarter of 2023. The spread benefited from menu-price increases, barely offset by inflation. Chipotle’s overall operating margin increased to 16.3% from 15.5% in the identical quarter a yr ago, while on the restaurant level, it rose 190 basis points to 27.5%.

“We had one other outstanding quarter driven by our improvement in throughput and successful marketing initiatives, including Braised Beef Barbacoa and Chicken Al Pastor, which drove strong sales and transactions,” said Chairman and CEO Brian Niccol within the earnings report. “The outcomes we’re seeing from our deal with developing exceptional people, preparing delicious food and fast throughput gives me confidence that we will achieve our long-term goal of greater than doubling our business in North America and expanding internationally.”

An enormous stock split is coming

Looking ahead, Chipotle expects to take care of its comparable-restaurant sales growth, targeting a full-year percentage-growth rate within the mid-to-high single-digit range. It also expects to have 285 to 315 latest restaurants in 2024, with 80% of them having a drive-through Chipotlane.

Chipotle’s financials are good with improving margins and rising money flows, manageable debt, and a solid current ratio, which gauges an organization’s ability to pay short-term debt, of 1.65.

Analysts took a way more bullish view of Chipotle stock after the most recent earnings report, because it received greater than a dozen price-target raises on Thursday with a median price goal of $3,200. That’s only up about 2.5% from the present price, but bear in mind that the stock has already gained 40% YTD.

Chipotle stock just isn’t low cost by any stretch, either by way of its $3,100+ share price or its valuation, trading at 66 times earnings. Nonetheless, with the 50-to-one stock split coming pending shareholder approvals on June 6, it’ll be so much cheaper with an entry price probably somewhere around $60 per share.

“That is the primary stock split in Chipotle’s 30-year history, and we consider this may make our stock more accessible to employees in addition to a broader range of investors,” said Chief Financial and Administrative Officer Jack Hartung. “This split comes at a time when our stock is experiencing an all-time high driven by record revenues, profits, and growth.”

Nonetheless, Chipotle’s valuation remains to be high, so investors should keep watch over that. Often, stock splits generate a number of investor interest, so it could see a surge post-split. Nevertheless, Chipotle has very high multiples, so investors might wish to search for a chance to get it at a lower valuation.

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