Bitcoin CVDD Model Suggests $153.2K As A Key Level Despite Macroeconomic Uncertainty – Details

Bitcoin is trading above key demand levels but continues to face resistance in breaking into uncharted territory. After setting a recent all-time high at $109,300 on Monday, the value has struggled to push higher, leaving traders and investors uncertain about its next move. Despite the market’s current indecision, BTC stays strong above critical support, signaling potential for further upside.

Crypto expert Axel Adler has provided key insights, suggesting that BTC could also be at a gorgeous level from an investment perspective. Drawing on historical data, Adler highlights that Bitcoin’s current price aligns with patterns seen during previous bull cycles, where strong support near all-time highs often preceded significant rallies. This has bolstered optimism amongst long-term investors who view the present consolidation as a possible buying opportunity.

Nevertheless, BtC’s inability to interrupt decisively above its ATH has left the market in suspense, as traders wait for confirmation of the following trend. A sustained push above $109,300 could spark a recent bullish phase and drive BTC into price discovery, while failing to carry key demand levels may lead to further consolidation or perhaps a short-term correction. The approaching days can be pivotal for Bitcoin because the market seeks clarity on its next direction.

Bitcoin Enters A Key Phase

Bitcoin is entering a critical phase because it approaches the ultimate stage of the 4-year bullish cycle, a period historically marked by heightened speculation and substantial price surges. With investors and analysts anticipating a major move in the approaching months, many are starting to set ambitious price targets for the cryptocurrency. This phase is characterised by growing interest, market momentum, and a give attention to Bitcoin’s ability to defy macroeconomic challenges.

Bitcoin Cumulative Value Days Destroyed | Source: Axel Adler o X

Renowned crypto analyst Axel Adler has make clear Bitcoin’s potential using the Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD) model. In accordance with Adler, the CVDD model suggests a conservative price goal of $153.2K, based on a 5x multiplier. This metric, derived from historical data, points to Bitcoin’s current price levels as potentially attractive for long-term investors. The CVDD model has historically been a reliable indicator, offering insights into Bitcoin’s valuation relative to its past performance.

Nevertheless, Adler cautions that this and similar models don’t account for external macroeconomic and political risks. Events just like the COVID pandemic or the mining ban in China have previously disrupted Bitcoin’s trajectory, demonstrating the unpredictable nature of the market. While Bitcoin has historically shown resilience and a remarkable ability to get better from setbacks, it’s crucial to do not forget that past performance doesn’t guarantee future results.

As Bitcoin continues to consolidate near its all-time highs, the market’s attention stays on whether it could possibly sustain its bullish momentum. If the CVDD model’s predictions align with actual performance, the approaching months could see Bitcoin reach unprecedented levels. Nevertheless, investors should remain mindful of external risks and market volatility as they navigate this pivotal stage in Bitcoin’s cycle.

BTC Price Motion Signals Long-Term Strength

Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility following Monday’s inauguration day, showcasing the market’s uncertain but lively sentiment. After tagging a recent all-time high at $109,300, BTC saw a rapid pullback, testing the critical $100,000 level inside hours. This sharp fluctuation highlights the continued tug-of-war between bulls and bears because the market seeks a clearer direction.

BTC testing liquidity | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView
BTC testing liquidity | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

On a long-term timeframe, Bitcoin’s price motion stays bullish, with consistent recent highs being set since late November 2024. This regular upward trend underscores the strength of BTC’s bullish momentum, even amid heightened volatility and market uncertainty. Investors remain optimistic about Bitcoin’s potential for further gains, supported by its robust performance over the past months.

Nevertheless, for BTC to substantiate its bullish phase and signal the continuation of the rally, it must decisively break above its all-time high and sustain the breakout. A successful move above $109,300 would likely attract fresh buying interest and reaffirm confidence amongst market participants, paving the best way for BTC to enter price discovery and set recent records.

Failing to reclaim the ATH may lead to further consolidation around key levels, keeping the market in suspense. The approaching days can be crucial as BTC navigates this pivotal phase in its current bullish cycle.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

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